Analysis of the Effect of Oil Rent on Tax Evasion in Iran: Focusing on the Exchange Rate

Crude oil and its rent can have advantages and disadvantages for oilrich countries.Many studies have investigated the effect of oil rent on various variables such as economic growth, inflation and financial development.Meanwhile, the possible role of oil rent on tax evasion by focusing on the exchange rate has been a topic that has not been considered by the authors in the studies.For this purpose, in the current research, the relative size of tax evasion was first calculated using the Multiple Indicators-Multiple Causes (MIMIC) method, which indicates an average of 8.1% in Iran's economy.Then, using the ARDL approach, the effect of oil rent on tax evasion was investigated and tested with regard to the role of the exchange rate in the period from 1980 to 2022.The results of long-run estimates show that oil rent has a positive effect on tax evasion and the positive effect of oil rent on tax evasion is affected by the real exchange rate.In such a way that in higher values of the exchange rate, the size of the positive effect of oil rent on tax evasion in Iran is intensified.Also, the trade openness has a negative effect and unemployment and inflation have a positive effect on tax evasion.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Tax Research
Published
2025-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61882/taxjournal.33.65.207
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
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article

Analysis of the Effect of Oil Rent on Tax Evasion in Iran: Focusing on the Exchange Rate

Journal of Tax Research
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Analysis of the Effect of Oil Rent on Tax Evasion in Iran: Focusing on the Exchange Rate

article en

Abstract

Crude oil and its rent can have advantages and disadvantages for oilrich countries.Many studies have investigated the effect of oil rent on various variables such as economic growth, inflation and financial development.Meanwhile, the possible role of oil rent on tax evasion by focusing on the exchange rate has been a topic that has not been considered by the authors in the studies.For this purpose, in the current research, the relative size of tax evasion was first calculated using the Multiple Indicators-Multiple Causes (MIMIC) method, which indicates an average of 8.1% in Iran's economy.Then, using the ARDL approach, the effect of oil rent on tax evasion was investigated and tested with regard to the role of the exchange rate in the period from 1980 to 2022.The results of long-run estimates show that oil rent has a positive effect on tax evasion and the positive effect of oil rent on tax evasion is affected by the real exchange rate.In such a way that in higher values of the exchange rate, the size of the positive effect of oil rent on tax evasion in Iran is intensified.Also, the trade openness has a negative effect and unemployment and inflation have a positive effect on tax evasion.

Journal of Tax ResearchVol. 33(65)
Allameh Tabataba'i University (IR), University of Mazandaran (IR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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