Modeling uncertainty, unawareness, and underspecification among Structural Causal Models

We argue that linguistic communication of information about causal relations frequently involves epistemic states of not only uncertainty about, but also unawareness of causal facts. We propose a simple model of Causal Beliefs with Unawareness (CBU), which augments Structural Causal Models with additional structure to model both uncertainty and unawareness.

Publication Details

Journal
Open Journal Systems (Global Science & Technology Forum)
Published
2025-09-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18148/sub/2024.v29.1289
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Modeling uncertainty, unawareness, and underspecification among Structural Causal Models

Open Journal Systems (Global Science & Technology Forum)
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Modeling uncertainty, unawareness, and underspecification among Structural Causal Models

article en

Abstract

We argue that linguistic communication of information about causal relations frequently involves epistemic states of not only uncertainty about, but also unawareness of causal facts. We propose a simple model of Causal Beliefs with Unawareness (CBU), which augments Structural Causal Models with additional structure to model both uncertainty and unawareness.

Open Journal Systems (Global Science & Technology Forum)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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