Are political connections valuable during a health pandemic crisis?

Due to the perceived threat of COVID-19 contagion, citizens worldwide were willing to accept extraordinary governmental interventions. This acceptance led to a concentration of power in the hands of the government through unlimited policy discretions. Against this backdrop, this study investigates whether there is a significant relationship between political connections and cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) during periods of global economic lockdown. Using a sample of 52 countries, this study employs event study methodology and cross-sectional regression in 2020. The results reveal that politically connected firms (PCONs) are positively and significantly associated with cumulative abnormal returns. However, the positive association between PCONs and CARs is attenuated in countries with strong institutions. Overall, the results suggest that investors assign higher valuations to PCONs because the latter is perceived as the biggest beneficiary from government policy discretion during COVID-19 economic lockdowns.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Review of Economics & Finance
Published
2025-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104623
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Are political connections valuable during a health pandemic crisis?

International Review of Economics & Finance
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Are political connections valuable during a health pandemic crisis?

article en

Abstract

Due to the perceived threat of COVID-19 contagion, citizens worldwide were willing to accept extraordinary governmental interventions. This acceptance led to a concentration of power in the hands of the government through unlimited policy discretions. Against this backdrop, this study investigates whether there is a significant relationship between political connections and cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) during periods of global economic lockdown. Using a sample of 52 countries, this study employs event study methodology and cross-sectional regression in 2020. The results reveal that politically connected firms (PCONs) are positively and significantly associated with cumulative abnormal returns. However, the positive association between PCONs and CARs is attenuated in countries with strong institutions. Overall, the results suggest that investors assign higher valuations to PCONs because the latter is perceived as the biggest beneficiary from government policy discretion during COVID-19 economic lockdowns.

International Review of Economics & FinanceVol. 104
Monash University Malaysia (MY), Universiti Sains Malaysia (MY), National University of Malaysia (MY)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 34%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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