The role of risk assessment in the performance of selected horticultural projects in Kajiado South Sub-County, Kenya

The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of risk assessment in the performance of selected horticultural projects in Kajiado South Sub-County, Kenya. Risk management theory guided the study. The research was founded on convergent parallel research design. The target population was made up of 1,072 people which included county agricultural officials, registered horticultural growers, and project managers from non-governmental organizations. Simple random selection was used to pick a sample of 291 respondents, and five key informants were selected using qualitative sampling techniques. To guarantee representation, proportional stratified sampling was used. Semi-structured surveys, formal interviews, farm observations, and report reviews were all used in the data gathering process. Descriptive statistics, correlation, and multiple regression were used to evaluate quantitative data using SPSS Version 28, while theme analysis was used to examine qualitative data. The study findings indicate that horticultural farmers in Kajiado South Sub-County generally acknowledge the importance of risk analysis in project performance (Mean = 3.83; SD = 0.514). A majority of the respondents (53.5% agreed and 18.5% strongly agreed) stated that risk assessment helps in setting priorities for resource allocation (Mean = 3.86; SD = 0.776). Farmers also reported active participation in risk assessment activities (Mean = 3.88; SD = 0.785), with 53.5% agreeing and 17.3% strongly agreeing that their projects regularly assess the likelihood and impact of risks (Mean = 3.83; SD = 0.780). It was recommended that, farmer training on risk identification using digital tools and indigenous knowledge, capacity building on risk analysis through structured programs, promotion of affordable mitigation strategies supported by subsidies and partnerships. Key Words: Risk Assessment, Performance, Horticultural Projects