Project Flashpoint: Experimental Validation of the Ibaguner Fractal Operator for Solar Flare Prediction

<p>Fractal Operator (IFO) through its application to solar flare prediction, dubbed Project Flash-point. We define a specific instantiation of the infinite-dimensional MPFF-IFO framework, F (t), processing real-time solar data through a cascade of polylogarith-mic, hyperbolic, and logarithmic functions. The operator was executed on historical data from the Halloween solar storms of October 2003. It successfully generated a precursor warning, with the index F (t) exceeding threshold 14 minutes prior to an X17.2-class flare. This result provides the first empirical evidence that the IFO is a functional, predictive tool for detecting singularities in complex systems.</p>

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.28009.20320
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Project Flashpoint: Experimental Validation of the Ibaguner Fractal Operator for Solar Flare Prediction

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Project Flashpoint: Experimental Validation of the Ibaguner Fractal Operator for Solar Flare Prediction

article en

Abstract

<p>Fractal Operator (IFO) through its application to solar flare prediction, dubbed Project Flash-point. We define a specific instantiation of the infinite-dimensional MPFF-IFO framework, F (t), processing real-time solar data through a cascade of polylogarith-mic, hyperbolic, and logarithmic functions. The operator was executed on historical data from the Halloween solar storms of October 2003. It successfully generated a precursor warning, with the index F (t) exceeding threshold 14 minutes prior to an X17.2-class flare. This result provides the first empirical evidence that the IFO is a functional, predictive tool for detecting singularities in complex systems.</p>

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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Project Flashpoint: Experimental Validation of the Ibaguner Fractal Operator for Solar Flare Prediction · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS