Cheap talk, Kripke semantics, Common knowledge and two examples of boom, bust & asset bubbles

This paper investigates the Crawford-Sobel model as cheap talk model where communication between players does (not) directly affect the payoffs of the game. Partition equilibrium and equilibrium actions do not converge with bias in beliefs. Green-Stoke model of information transmission showed that BNE differs from Cournot, Nash and Stackelberg and while Cournot is agent and principal best response, BNE is principal best response. Stackelberg equilibrium is outside of principals’ or agents' BR. Kripke model of partial separation with mixed strategy equilibrium show that if the world is w_H m_H beliefs/payoff ratio is higher than that of w_L m_H and if the world is w_H m_L beliefs/payoff ratio is higher than in w_L m_L world. In the common knowledge frame communication does not change the structure of knowledge in the model. Deterministic and bursting bubbles differ in the movement of dividend/price and capital gain. Whether investors coordinate for collective optimality Kantian equilibrium or not (Nash equilibrium) matters for asset bubble size.Dot.com bubble and 2008 financial crisis with Case-Shiller measure for housing bubble and S&P movements are investigated as some indicators for asset bubbles and cheap talk.

Publication Details

Journal
Goce Delchev University Repository (Goce Delčev University of Štip)
Published
2025-06-01
Primary Topic
Data Analysis with R
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article

Cheap talk, Kripke semantics, Common knowledge and two examples of boom, bust & asset bubbles

Goce Delchev University Repository (Goce Delčev University of Štip)
Data Analysis with R
article

Cheap talk, Kripke semantics, Common knowledge and two examples of boom, bust & asset bubbles

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Abstract

This paper investigates the Crawford-Sobel model as cheap talk model where communication between players does (not) directly affect the payoffs of the game. Partition equilibrium and equilibrium actions do not converge with bias in beliefs. Green-Stoke model of information transmission showed that BNE differs from Cournot, Nash and Stackelberg and while Cournot is agent and principal best response, BNE is principal best response. Stackelberg equilibrium is outside of principals’ or agents' BR. Kripke model of partial separation with mixed strategy equilibrium show that if the world is w_H m_H beliefs/payoff ratio is higher than that of w_L m_H and if the world is w_H m_L beliefs/payoff ratio is higher than in w_L m_L world. In the common knowledge frame communication does not change the structure of knowledge in the model. Deterministic and bursting bubbles differ in the movement of dividend/price and capital gain. Whether investors coordinate for collective optimality Kantian equilibrium or not (Nash equilibrium) matters for asset bubble size.Dot.com bubble and 2008 financial crisis with Case-Shiller measure for housing bubble and S&P movements are investigated as some indicators for asset bubbles and cheap talk.

Goce Delchev University Repository (Goce Delčev University of Štip)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Data Analysis with R
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Cheap talk, Kripke semantics, Common knowledge and two examples of boom, bust & asset bubbles · Goce Delchev University Repository (Goce Delčev University of Štip) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS