Devaluation, Exports, and Recovery from the Great Depression

This paper evaluates how a major policy shift - the suspension of the gold standard in September1931 - affected employment outcomes in interwar Britain. We use a new high-frequency industry-level dataset and difference-in-differences techniques to isolate the impact of devaluation on exporters. At the micro level, we find that the break from gold reduced the unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points for export-intensive industries relative to more closed industries. At the aggregate level, this effect stimulated the labor market, the fiscal outlook, and economic growth. Devaluation was therefore an important initial spark of recovery from the depths of the Great Depression.

Publication Details

Journal
London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Published
2026-01-16
Primary Topic
Atomic and Molecular Physics
Type
article
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article

Devaluation, Exports, and Recovery from the Great Depression

London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Atomic and Molecular Physics
article

Devaluation, Exports, and Recovery from the Great Depression

article en

Abstract

This paper evaluates how a major policy shift - the suspension of the gold standard in September1931 - affected employment outcomes in interwar Britain. We use a new high-frequency industry-level dataset and difference-in-differences techniques to isolate the impact of devaluation on exporters. At the micro level, we find that the break from gold reduced the unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points for export-intensive industries relative to more closed industries. At the aggregate level, this effect stimulated the labor market, the fiscal outlook, and economic growth. Devaluation was therefore an important initial spark of recovery from the depths of the Great Depression.

London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Atomic and Molecular Physics
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Devaluation, Exports, and Recovery from the Great Depression · London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS