Box A: An alternative UK economic forecast

In this article, we present an economic outlook for the period from December 2024 to November 2025 using an AI MRN method, highlighting the latest projections for inflation, GDP, and 10-year gilt yields. We can think of this as an alternative to the NIESR forecasts presented elsewhere in this UK Economic Outlook. We then review our past forecasting performance through a retrospective analysis of our CPI inflation forecasts since May 2024.

Publication Details

Journal
ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University)
Published
2025-02-04
Primary Topic
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
Type
article
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article

Box A: An alternative UK economic forecast

ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University)
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
article

Box A: An alternative UK economic forecast

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Abstract

In this article, we present an economic outlook for the period from December 2024 to November 2025 using an AI MRN method, highlighting the latest projections for inflation, GDP, and 10-year gilt yields. We can think of this as an alternative to the NIESR forecasts presented elsewhere in this UK Economic Outlook. We then review our past forecasting performance through a retrospective analysis of our CPI inflation forecasts since May 2024.

ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
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Box A: An alternative UK economic forecast · ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS