Узагальнена модель живучості зразків бронетанкового озброєння і техніки

Today, there is no single, standardized approach to quantifying the survivability of BTOT samples. The survivability models available in the literature differ in the number of components that define the essence of the concept of survivability, depending on the type of military equipment and conditions of its use. The analysis of the literature shows that the following components of the survivability of BTOT include at least the following: 1) secrecy, 2) ability to eliminate the threat by own means, 3) security, 4) recoverability, 5) mobility, 6) resistance to overturning, 7) resistance to spontaneous operational damage or own defects. In order to take into account, the contribution of survivability components to the overall survivability of BTOT, the paper develops the theoretical basis for their classification as random additive/multiplicative statistical events. The proposed step-by-step algorithm for classifying survivability components as random events makes it possible to determine the rule by which their probabilities are combined into the overall survivability indicator. In the available information sources, the above seven components of survivability are considered in various combinations, but the simultaneous consideration of all seven components has not yet been carried out. Moreover, an algorithm for taking into account new components of resilience, if any, remains to be developed. This paper is devoted to the development of a generalized model for assessing durability, taking into account the seven known durability components and with the possibility of introducing new components based on the classification of durability components as random events. The proposed generalized model of sample survivability is developed in two stages. The first stage is to create a basic survivability model that takes into account the seven generally accepted components. At the second stage of developing the generalized model, we propose a new survivability component, which we call threat activity, and use its example to illustrate how new components can be added to the basic model. To quantify the effectiveness of the resilience model and the efficiency of innovative measures to improve specific resilience components, we propose appropriate quantitative indicators.