Fake turbulence

High-dimensional dynamical systems projected onto a lower-dimensional manifold cease to be deterministic and are best described by probability distributions in the projected state space. Their equations of motion map onto an evolution operator with a deterministic component, describing the projected dynamics, and a stochastic one representing the neglected dimensions. This is illustrated with data-driven models for a moderate-Reynolds-number turbulent channel. It is shown that, for projections in which the deterministic component is dominant, relatively 'physics-free' stochastic Markovian models can be constructed that mimic many of the statistics of the real flow, even for fairly crude operator approximations, and this is related to general properties of Markov chains. Deterministic models converge to steady states, but the simplified stochastic models can be used to suggest what is essential to the flow and what is not.