Multimodal Benchmarking for NCAA Basketball

We present the first multimodal, multitask benchmark for NCAA basketball, synthesizing structured statistical features with large language model (LLM)-generated game summaries across 19,739 games spanning four NCAA Division I seasons (2021--2025). We evaluate three model families---XGBoost, deep neural networks, and Transformers---under tabular-only and early-fusion settings to measure the impact of LLM-derived textual embeddings. To assess practical utility, we simulate fixed-stake and Kelly criterion-based betting strategies using historical bookmaker odds, analyzing both profitability and downside risk via Monte Carlo simulation. Our results show that XGBoost with early-fusion achieves the highest return on investment and the lowest risk of loss. This work is, to our knowledge, the first to integrate LLM-generated narrative data with structured inputs for calibrated forecasting in sports, offering a reproducible benchmark for multimodal decision-making under uncertainty.

Publication Details

Journal
OpenCommons - UConn (University of Connecticut)
Published
2025-05-01
Primary Topic
Sleep and Work-Related Fatigue
Type
article
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article

Multimodal Benchmarking for NCAA Basketball

OpenCommons - UConn (University of Connecticut)
Sleep and Work-Related Fatigue
article

Multimodal Benchmarking for NCAA Basketball

article en

Abstract

We present the first multimodal, multitask benchmark for NCAA basketball, synthesizing structured statistical features with large language model (LLM)-generated game summaries across 19,739 games spanning four NCAA Division I seasons (2021--2025). We evaluate three model families---XGBoost, deep neural networks, and Transformers---under tabular-only and early-fusion settings to measure the impact of LLM-derived textual embeddings. To assess practical utility, we simulate fixed-stake and Kelly criterion-based betting strategies using historical bookmaker odds, analyzing both profitability and downside risk via Monte Carlo simulation. Our results show that XGBoost with early-fusion achieves the highest return on investment and the lowest risk of loss. This work is, to our knowledge, the first to integrate LLM-generated narrative data with structured inputs for calibrated forecasting in sports, offering a reproducible benchmark for multimodal decision-making under uncertainty.

OpenCommons - UConn (University of Connecticut)
Openalex Percentile: Top 43%
Sleep and Work-Related Fatigue
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