Should international tourism fear population aging

Increases in life expectancy and drops in fertility have slowly but steadily raised the fraction of the population in old-age. While this population aging phenomenon is not new, its speed has increased markedly over past decades in many countries. Given evidence of a decline in international travel with age late in life, should we expect a drop in international tourism, as population aging continues? The answer of this paper is: “no”. The medical progress which leads to longer lives also leads to healthier lives, which allows more old-age households to travel abroad. Furthermore, smaller family sizes make international travel more affordable. Among others, I find that a 1 year gain in life expectancy increases the number of worldwide international travels by 10%.

Publication Details

Journal
ArODES (HES-SO (https://www.hes-so.ch/))
Published
2024-12-05
Primary Topic
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Should international tourism fear population aging

ArODES (HES-SO (https://www.hes-so.ch/))
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
article

Should international tourism fear population aging

article en

Abstract

Increases in life expectancy and drops in fertility have slowly but steadily raised the fraction of the population in old-age. While this population aging phenomenon is not new, its speed has increased markedly over past decades in many countries. Given evidence of a decline in international travel with age late in life, should we expect a drop in international tourism, as population aging continues? The answer of this paper is: “no”. The medical progress which leads to longer lives also leads to healthier lives, which allows more old-age households to travel abroad. Furthermore, smaller family sizes make international travel more affordable. Among others, I find that a 1 year gain in life expectancy increases the number of worldwide international travels by 10%.

ArODES (HES-SO (https://www.hes-so.ch/))
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 59%
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
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Should international tourism fear population aging · ArODES (HES-SO (https://www.hes-so.ch/)) (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS