Causal Effects of Gut Microbiota and Metabolites on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Bidirectional Two Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

Yongkun Du, Shuai Wang, Ting Zhou, Zhongyan Zhao Department of Critical Care Medicine, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin Province, 130033, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Zhongyan Zhao, Email [email protected]: Recent evidence suggests that the gut microbiome and metabolites are intricately involved in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) pathogenesis, yet the precise causal relationships remain unclear due to confounding factors and reverse causation. This study employs bidirectional two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) to clarify these connections.Methods: Summary data from publicly available Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) concerning the gut microbiome, metabolites, and COPD were compiled. The selection of genetic instrumental variables (Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms, or SNPs) for MR analysis was conducted meticulously, primarily utilizing the Inverse Variance Weighting (IVW) method, supplemented by MR-Egger regression and the Weighted Median (WM) approach. The evaluation of heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy was performed using Cochran’s Q test, the MR-Egger intercept test, and the MR-PRESSO global test. Sensitivity analyses, including leave-one-out tests, were conducted to verify the robustness of our results. And the mediation effect of gut microbiota-mediated changes in metabolites on the causal relationship with COPD was analyzed.Results: Our study identified nine significant gut microbiota taxa and thirteen known metabolites implicated in COPD pathogenesis. Moreover, associations between the onset of COPD and the abundance of five bacterial taxa, as well as the concentration of three known metabolites, were established. These findings consistently withstood sensitivity analyses, reinforcing their credibility. Additionally, our results revealed that gut microbiota contribute to the development of COPD by mediating changes in metabolites.Conclusion: Our bidirectional Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization analysis has revealed reciprocal causal relationships between the abundance of gut microbiota and metabolite concentrations in the context of COPD. This research holds promise for identifying biomarkers for early COPD diagnosis and monitoring disease progression, thereby opening new pathways for prevention and treatment. Further investigation into the underlying mechanisms is essential to improve our understanding of COPD onset.Keywords: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, gut microbiota, metabolites, Mendelian randomization, causal effect