Breaking the Expected: Rethinking the Impact of Bird Losses on Egg Prices

This study investigates the impact of avian influenza outbreaks, feed prices, and egg inventory levels on egg price fluctuations in the U.S. market. Using an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression model, this analysis examines historical price trends from 2015 to 2023, incorporating key economic indicators to determine the primary cause of the volatility of egg prices. The findings suggest that feed prices and avian flu outbreaks are significant contributors to price increases, while higher egg inventories help stabilize prices. The study highlights the complex interplay of production costs, supply shocks, and market dynamics in shaping egg prices, contributing to a deeper understanding of food price volatility and the resilience of agricultural markets.