Harris' Lead Over Trump Narrows in NH; Likely Voters Split on Expected Winner Nationally 11/3/2024

Vice President Kamala Harris continues to hold a lead over former President Donald Trump in New Hampshire as the campaign comes to an end, but her advantage has shrunk since September. Voters are evenly split when asked which candidate they expect to become president, a change since September when a plurality expected Harris to win. Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, are more popular among likely New Hampshire voters than Trump and his running mate, Ohio Senator J.D. Vance. There is widespread anxiety in the state about political violence, as more than four in five likely voters express concerns about violent election interference, attacks on political figures, and political leaders trying to seize power.