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This study examines whether Barton Whaley’s theory of strategic deception remains valid in modern warfare. The 2022 Ukrainian Kharkiv counteroffensive is analysed as a case study using a theory-testing qualitative research design. Timeline analysis and content coding are applied to identify deception methods and evaluate their impact on Russian strategic decision-making. The findings show that Ukraine employed both baited gambit and multi-option strategies to achieve surprise, enabling successful manoeuvre warfare that resulted in significant territorial gains and Russian losses. The study confirms the relevance of Whaley’s theory in a modern context, despite advanced technologies such as satellites and drones that characterize today’s transparent battlefield. This research contributes to military theory by demonstrating the continued effectiveness of strategic deception in contemporary conflict environments.

Publication Details

Journal
KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Published
2025-01-01
Primary Topic
European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies
Type
article
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article

Vilseledning i praktiken : Vilseledning i praktiken

KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies
article

Vilseledning i praktiken : Vilseledning i praktiken

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Abstract

This study examines whether Barton Whaley’s theory of strategic deception remains valid in modern warfare. The 2022 Ukrainian Kharkiv counteroffensive is analysed as a case study using a theory-testing qualitative research design. Timeline analysis and content coding are applied to identify deception methods and evaluate their impact on Russian strategic decision-making. The findings show that Ukraine employed both baited gambit and multi-option strategies to achieve surprise, enabling successful manoeuvre warfare that resulted in significant territorial gains and Russian losses. The study confirms the relevance of Whaley’s theory in a modern context, despite advanced technologies such as satellites and drones that characterize today’s transparent battlefield. This research contributes to military theory by demonstrating the continued effectiveness of strategic deception in contemporary conflict environments.

KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies
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