Royal Threats

This thesis studies unwanted communication directed at the Swedish Royal Family and evaluates tools to assess its content systematically. Unwanted communication refers to unsolicited, intrusive, or harassing messages, such as spam emails, repeated calls, social media messages, or physical letters. The study addresses one main research questions: (1)How can the threat level of unwanted communication directed at the Swedish Royal Family be systematically assessed? And two sub-questions: (1)What kind of warning indicators are present in unwanted communication sent to the Swedish Royal Family? and (2)What proxy behaviors can be identified in unwanted communication sent to the Swedish Royal Family? A mixed-methods approach was used, analyzing 103 emails through documentary research and applying qualitative coding based on predefined indicators from the studies about the FBI threat assessment model, CTAP-25, and proxy behaviors. Quantitative correlation analysis was conducted using Pearson in JASP, and an AI-based tool called Dechefr, which assesses eight risk indicators, was used to complement the manual coding. The results shows that aggressive, grievance-driven messages were most common, and complex cases often combined multiple indicators. Correlations and AI analysis confirmed the links between anger, escalation, and ideological motivations. Proxy behaviors alone are not sufficient, but they are useful when combined with structured tools. The study offers a foundation for assessing threats to the Swedish Royal Family and highlights the value of an AI-assisted, multi-method approach.