Do Bayesian neural networks actually behave like Bayesian models?

We empirically investigate how well popular approximate inference algorithms for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) respect the theoretical properties of Bayesian belief updating. We find strong evidence on synthetic regression and real-world image classification tasks that common BNN algorithms such as variational inference, Laplace approximation, SWAG, and SGLD fail to update in a consistent manner, forget about old data under sequential updates, and violate the predictive coherence properties that would be expected of Bayesian methods. These observed behaviors imply that care should be taken when treating BNNs as true Bayesian models, particularly when using them beyond static prediction settings, such as for active, continual, or transfer learning.

Publication Details

Journal
Oxford University Research Archive (ORA) (University of Oxford)
Published
2025-01-01
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
article
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article

Do Bayesian neural networks actually behave like Bayesian models?

Oxford University Research Archive (ORA) (University of Oxford)
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
article

Do Bayesian neural networks actually behave like Bayesian models?

article en

Abstract

We empirically investigate how well popular approximate inference algorithms for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) respect the theoretical properties of Bayesian belief updating. We find strong evidence on synthetic regression and real-world image classification tasks that common BNN algorithms such as variational inference, Laplace approximation, SWAG, and SGLD fail to update in a consistent manner, forget about old data under sequential updates, and violate the predictive coherence properties that would be expected of Bayesian methods. These observed behaviors imply that care should be taken when treating BNNs as true Bayesian models, particularly when using them beyond static prediction settings, such as for active, continual, or transfer learning.

Oxford University Research Archive (ORA) (University of Oxford)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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Do Bayesian neural networks actually behave like Bayesian models? · Oxford University Research Archive (ORA) (University of Oxford) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS