Comparative Analysis of Regression and Random Forest Models for Player Performance Prediction in the MLS

Advanced technology and analytics have transformed the world and have benefited several industries throughout, the sport industry being one of them. Data is constantly generated during sports and requires post-game or post-season analysis which is crucial to team and player success. In this paper, the researcher will focus on the impact of analytics on soccer and soccer players. With over three billion active fans, soccer is the most famous sport in the world yet, when it comes to analytics, it is lagging. The thesis includes a comparative study of multiple linear regression and random forest regression to explore whether these models can be used to accurately predict player goals and assists and evaluate which factors were significant predictors. The results of the analysis indicated that, for this particular dataset, random forest regression is a more accurate technique for predicting player performance.

Publication Details

Journal
Scholars Crossing (Liberty University)
Published
2025-05-01
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
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article

Comparative Analysis of Regression and Random Forest Models for Player Performance Prediction in the MLS

Scholars Crossing (Liberty University)
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

Comparative Analysis of Regression and Random Forest Models for Player Performance Prediction in the MLS

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Abstract

Advanced technology and analytics have transformed the world and have benefited several industries throughout, the sport industry being one of them. Data is constantly generated during sports and requires post-game or post-season analysis which is crucial to team and player success. In this paper, the researcher will focus on the impact of analytics on soccer and soccer players. With over three billion active fans, soccer is the most famous sport in the world yet, when it comes to analytics, it is lagging. The thesis includes a comparative study of multiple linear regression and random forest regression to explore whether these models can be used to accurately predict player goals and assists and evaluate which factors were significant predictors. The results of the analysis indicated that, for this particular dataset, random forest regression is a more accurate technique for predicting player performance.

Scholars Crossing (Liberty University)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 39%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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Comparative Analysis of Regression and Random Forest Models for Player Performance Prediction in the MLS · Scholars Crossing (Liberty University) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS