A new tail bound for the sum of bounded independent random variables

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable. This new bound can be computed by solving a two-dimensional convex optimization problem. Simulations demonstrate that the new bound is often substantially tighter than Hoeffding's inequality for cases in which both bounds are applicable.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-03-21
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
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article

A new tail bound for the sum of bounded independent random variables

ArXiv.org
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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A new tail bound for the sum of bounded independent random variables

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Abstract

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable. This new bound can be computed by solving a two-dimensional convex optimization problem. Simulations demonstrate that the new bound is often substantially tighter than Hoeffding's inequality for cases in which both bounds are applicable.

ArXiv.org
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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A new tail bound for the sum of bounded independent random variables · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS