Deep Learning of the Evolution Operator Enables Forecasting of Out-of-Training Dynamics in Chaotic Systems

We demonstrate that a deep learning emulator for chaotic systems can forecast phenomena absent from training data. Using the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky and beta-plane turbulence models, we evaluate the emulator through scenarios probing the fundamental phenomena of both systems: forecasting spontaneous relaminarisation, capturing initialisation of arbitrary chaotic states, zero-shot prediction of dynamics with parameter values outside of the training range, and characterisation of dynamical statistics from artificially restricted training datasets. Our results show that deep learning emulators can uncover emergent behaviours and rare events in complex systems by learning underlying mathematical rules, rather than merely mimicking observed patterns.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-02-27
Primary Topic
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
Type
article
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article

Deep Learning of the Evolution Operator Enables Forecasting of Out-of-Training Dynamics in Chaotic Systems

ArXiv.org
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
article

Deep Learning of the Evolution Operator Enables Forecasting of Out-of-Training Dynamics in Chaotic Systems

article en

Abstract

We demonstrate that a deep learning emulator for chaotic systems can forecast phenomena absent from training data. Using the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky and beta-plane turbulence models, we evaluate the emulator through scenarios probing the fundamental phenomena of both systems: forecasting spontaneous relaminarisation, capturing initialisation of arbitrary chaotic states, zero-shot prediction of dynamics with parameter values outside of the training range, and characterisation of dynamical statistics from artificially restricted training datasets. Our results show that deep learning emulators can uncover emergent behaviours and rare events in complex systems by learning underlying mathematical rules, rather than merely mimicking observed patterns.

ArXiv.org
Openalex Percentile: Top 52%
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
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Deep Learning of the Evolution Operator Enables Forecasting of Out-of-Training Dynamics in Chaotic Systems · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS