HiSTM: Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Mamba for Cellular Traffic Forecasting

Cellular traffic forecasting is essential for network planning, resource allocation, or load-balancing traffic across cells. However, accurate forecasting is difficult due to intricate spatial and temporal patterns that exist due to the mobility of users. Existing AI-based traffic forecasting models often trade-off accuracy and computational efficiency. We present Hierarchical SpatioTemporal Mamba (HiSTM), which combines a dual spatial encoder with a Mamba-based temporal module and attention mechanism. HiSTM employs selective state space methods to capture spatial and temporal patterns in network traffic. In our evaluation, we use a real-world dataset to compare HiSTM against several baselines, showing a 29.4% MAE improvement over the STN baseline while using 94% fewer parameters. We show that the HiSTM generalizes well across different datasets and improves in accuracy over longer time-horizons.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-08-07
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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article
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article

HiSTM: Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Mamba for Cellular Traffic Forecasting

ArXiv.org
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

HiSTM: Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Mamba for Cellular Traffic Forecasting

article en

Abstract

Cellular traffic forecasting is essential for network planning, resource allocation, or load-balancing traffic across cells. However, accurate forecasting is difficult due to intricate spatial and temporal patterns that exist due to the mobility of users. Existing AI-based traffic forecasting models often trade-off accuracy and computational efficiency. We present Hierarchical SpatioTemporal Mamba (HiSTM), which combines a dual spatial encoder with a Mamba-based temporal module and attention mechanism. HiSTM employs selective state space methods to capture spatial and temporal patterns in network traffic. In our evaluation, we use a real-world dataset to compare HiSTM against several baselines, showing a 29.4% MAE improvement over the STN baseline while using 94% fewer parameters. We show that the HiSTM generalizes well across different datasets and improves in accuracy over longer time-horizons.

ArXiv.org
Openalex Percentile: Top 51%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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HiSTM: Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Mamba for Cellular Traffic Forecasting · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS