Deep Hedging of Green PPAs in Electricity Markets

In power markets, Green Power Purchase Agreements have become an important contractual tool of the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as wind or solar radiation. Trading Green PPAs exposes agents to price risks and weather risks. Also, developed electricity markets feature the so-called cannibalisation effect : large infeeds induce low prices and vice versa. As weather is a non-tradable entity the question arises how to hedge and risk-manage in this highly incom-plete setting. We propose a ''deep hedging'' framework utilising machine learning methods to construct hedging strategies. The resulting strategies outperform static and dynamic benchmark strategies with respect to different risk measures.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-03-17
Primary Topic
Electric Power System Optimization
Type
article
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article

Deep Hedging of Green PPAs in Electricity Markets

ArXiv.org
Electric Power System Optimization
article

Deep Hedging of Green PPAs in Electricity Markets

article en

Abstract

In power markets, Green Power Purchase Agreements have become an important contractual tool of the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as wind or solar radiation. Trading Green PPAs exposes agents to price risks and weather risks. Also, developed electricity markets feature the so-called cannibalisation effect : large infeeds induce low prices and vice versa. As weather is a non-tradable entity the question arises how to hedge and risk-manage in this highly incom-plete setting. We propose a ''deep hedging'' framework utilising machine learning methods to construct hedging strategies. The resulting strategies outperform static and dynamic benchmark strategies with respect to different risk measures.

ArXiv.org
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 53%
Electric Power System Optimization
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Deep Hedging of Green PPAs in Electricity Markets · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS