Persistence and extinction dynamics in a stochastic predator-prey model with emergent Allee effects

The Allee effect describes a decline in population fitness at low densities, potentially leading to extinction. In predator-prey systems, an emergent Allee effect can arise due to interactions such as density-dependent maturation rates and predation constraints. This work studies a stochastic predator-prey model where the prey population is structured into juvenile and adult stages, with maturation following a nonlinear function. We introduce Ito-type stochastic perturbations in mortality rates to account for environmental variability. We first establish the positivity of solutions and derive sufficient conditions for the stability of the trivial equilibrium, prey extinction, and conditional predator extinction. We then analyze prey persistence under specific maturation rate functions. Finally, numerical simulations illustrate the theoretical results and their ecological implications.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-03-21
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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article
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article

Persistence and extinction dynamics in a stochastic predator-prey model with emergent Allee effects

ArXiv.org
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Persistence and extinction dynamics in a stochastic predator-prey model with emergent Allee effects

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Abstract

The Allee effect describes a decline in population fitness at low densities, potentially leading to extinction. In predator-prey systems, an emergent Allee effect can arise due to interactions such as density-dependent maturation rates and predation constraints. This work studies a stochastic predator-prey model where the prey population is structured into juvenile and adult stages, with maturation following a nonlinear function. We introduce Ito-type stochastic perturbations in mortality rates to account for environmental variability. We first establish the positivity of solutions and derive sufficient conditions for the stability of the trivial equilibrium, prey extinction, and conditional predator extinction. We then analyze prey persistence under specific maturation rate functions. Finally, numerical simulations illustrate the theoretical results and their ecological implications.

ArXiv.org
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 39%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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