A New Stochastic Approximation Method for Gradient-based Simulated Parameter Estimation

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation framework, which employs a multi-time scale stochastic approximation algorithm. This approach effectively addresses the ratio bias that arises in both maximum likelihood estimation and posterior density estimation problems. The proposed algorithm enhances estimation accuracy and significantly reduces computational costs, as demonstrated through extensive numerical experiments. Our work extends the GSPE framework to handle complex models such as hidden Markov models and variational inference-based problems, offering a robust solution for parameter estimation in challenging stochastic environments.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-03-23
Primary Topic
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
Type
article
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article

A New Stochastic Approximation Method for Gradient-based Simulated Parameter Estimation

ArXiv.org
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
article

A New Stochastic Approximation Method for Gradient-based Simulated Parameter Estimation

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Abstract

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation framework, which employs a multi-time scale stochastic approximation algorithm. This approach effectively addresses the ratio bias that arises in both maximum likelihood estimation and posterior density estimation problems. The proposed algorithm enhances estimation accuracy and significantly reduces computational costs, as demonstrated through extensive numerical experiments. Our work extends the GSPE framework to handle complex models such as hidden Markov models and variational inference-based problems, offering a robust solution for parameter estimation in challenging stochastic environments.

ArXiv.org
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
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A New Stochastic Approximation Method for Gradient-based Simulated Parameter Estimation · ArXiv.org (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS