Efficient Inference for Time-to-Event Outcomes by Integrating Right-Censored and Current Status Data

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while standard meta-analysis approaches are inadequate for combining right-censored and current status data, as estimators based on current status data alone typically converge at slower rates and have non-normal limiting distributions. In this work, we consider a semiparametric model under exchangeable event time distribution across data sources. We derive the canonical gradient of the survival probability at a given time, and develop one-step estimators along with the corresponding inference procedure. Specifically, we propose a doubly robust estimator and an efficient estimator that attains the semiparametric efficiency bound under mild conditions. Importantly, we show that incorporating current status data can lead to meaningful efficiency gains despite the slower convergence rate of current status-only estimators. We demonstrate the performance of our proposed method in simulations and discuss extensions to settings with covariate shift. We believe that this work has the potential to open new directions in data fusion methodology, particularly for settings involving mixed censoring types.

Publication Details

Journal
ArXiv.org
Published
2025-08-14
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
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article

Efficient Inference for Time-to-Event Outcomes by Integrating Right-Censored and Current Status Data

ArXiv.org
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Efficient Inference for Time-to-Event Outcomes by Integrating Right-Censored and Current Status Data

article en

Abstract

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while standard meta-analysis approaches are inadequate for combining right-censored and current status data, as estimators based on current status data alone typically converge at slower rates and have non-normal limiting distributions. In this work, we consider a semiparametric model under exchangeable event time distribution across data sources. We derive the canonical gradient of the survival probability at a given time, and develop one-step estimators along with the corresponding inference procedure. Specifically, we propose a doubly robust estimator and an efficient estimator that attains the semiparametric efficiency bound under mild conditions. Importantly, we show that incorporating current status data can lead to meaningful efficiency gains despite the slower convergence rate of current status-only estimators. We demonstrate the performance of our proposed method in simulations and discuss extensions to settings with covariate shift. We believe that this work has the potential to open new directions in data fusion methodology, particularly for settings involving mixed censoring types.

ArXiv.org
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Statistical Methods and Inference
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