Vote your region or your income? Decomposing variance in redistributive voting

We examine whether regional economic productivity predicts support for redistributive parties and voting cohesion across income levels. Using a European sample, we find rich and poor in productive regions vote significantly more for redistributive parties than their counterparts in less productive regions. Yet voters may be cross-pressured, some favouring policies that enhance regional productivity and others their pocketbook interests. Decomposing vote variance, we show high variability in rich voters in productive regions and poor voters in less productive regions. Rich voters in less productive regions vote cohesively. This research highlights the importance of place-based factors in vote choice and variance.

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2025-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.28911258.v1
Primary Topic
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Vote your region or your income? Decomposing variance in redistributive voting

Figshare
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
article

Vote your region or your income? Decomposing variance in redistributive voting

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Abstract

We examine whether regional economic productivity predicts support for redistributive parties and voting cohesion across income levels. Using a European sample, we find rich and poor in productive regions vote significantly more for redistributive parties than their counterparts in less productive regions. Yet voters may be cross-pressured, some favouring policies that enhance regional productivity and others their pocketbook interests. Decomposing vote variance, we show high variability in rich voters in productive regions and poor voters in less productive regions. Rich voters in less productive regions vote cohesively. This research highlights the importance of place-based factors in vote choice and variance.

Figshare
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Openalex Percentile: Top 44%
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
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Vote your region or your income? Decomposing variance in redistributive voting · Figshare (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS