Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic.

The impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) on marine ecosystems can be amplified when combined with other extreme events. Here, we investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of compound events of MHW, high acidity and low chlorophyll in the equatorial and South Atlantic, using observation-based datasets and reanalysis products. We show that the frequency and intensity of these triple compound events under a fixed baseline have increased dramatically over the past two decades, peaking in the most recent years. We analyse the drivers of triple compound events for six regions and find that, for the Angola Front and Brazil-Malvinas Confluence regions, these events are associated with a poleward shift of the fronts. In the Agulhas Leakage region, an increase in warmer waters entering from the Indian Ocean leads to compound extremes. In the western equatorial and subtropical Atlantic, they are caused by changes in the air-sea heat fluxes, while in the eastern equatorial by a weakening of upwelling. In addition, triple compound events are widespread over the South Atlantic during El Niño events, which is important because MHWs can be predicted when associated with ENSO.

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Publication Details

Journal
Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Published
2025-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48620/87892
Primary Topic
Marine and coastal ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic.

Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Marine and coastal ecosystems
article

Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic.

article en

Abstract

The impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) on marine ecosystems can be amplified when combined with other extreme events. Here, we investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of compound events of MHW, high acidity and low chlorophyll in the equatorial and South Atlantic, using observation-based datasets and reanalysis products. We show that the frequency and intensity of these triple compound events under a fixed baseline have increased dramatically over the past two decades, peaking in the most recent years. We analyse the drivers of triple compound events for six regions and find that, for the Angola Front and Brazil-Malvinas Confluence regions, these events are associated with a poleward shift of the fronts. In the Agulhas Leakage region, an increase in warmer waters entering from the Indian Ocean leads to compound extremes. In the western equatorial and subtropical Atlantic, they are caused by changes in the air-sea heat fluxes, while in the eastern equatorial by a weakening of upwelling. In addition, triple compound events are widespread over the South Atlantic during El Niño events, which is important because MHWs can be predicted when associated with ENSO.

Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
System Dynamics International (United States) (US), Institute of Water Modelling (BD)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 47%
Marine and coastal ecosystems
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Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic. · Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS