The nonlinear economy: How resource constraints lead to business cycles

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is depleted during the production process and has to be renewed, whereas capital grows with production and decreases from depreciation. Dependent on time scales and energy related control parameters, we obtain steady states of high or low production, but also sustained oscillations that show properties of business cycles. We also find conditions for the coexistence of stable fixed points and limit cycles. Our model allows to specify investment and saving functions for Kaldor's model of business cycles. We provide evidence for an endogenous origin of business cycles if depleting resources are taken into account.

Publication Details

Journal
Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Published
2025-03-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000708832
Primary Topic
Economic Theory and Policy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The nonlinear economy: How resource constraints lead to business cycles

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Economic Theory and Policy
article

The nonlinear economy: How resource constraints lead to business cycles

article en

Abstract

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is depleted during the production process and has to be renewed, whereas capital grows with production and decreases from depreciation. Dependent on time scales and energy related control parameters, we obtain steady states of high or low production, but also sustained oscillations that show properties of business cycles. We also find conditions for the coexistence of stable fixed points and limit cycles. Our model allows to specify investment and saving functions for Kaldor's model of business cycles. We provide evidence for an endogenous origin of business cycles if depleting resources are taken into account.

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 39%
Economic Theory and Policy
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