Où va l'économie mondiale ?

This article intends to give a concise intermediate and long term view of the world economy. The author first states the recent major changes in the industrialized societies (an international economic system becoming more and more multipolar and interdépendant, a strengthening of the internal social oligopoly, an evolution of aspirations, technological change), examines the major economic problems on an international level over the next ten years (energy, international levels of indebtment, currency instabilities, intensified industrial competition, differentiation of developing countries etc.) and then analyses internal challenges to economic policies (macroeconomic or microeconomic policies reforms of the Welfare State) and finally outlines a few scenarios of breakdown and continuity.