Appendix.

<div> Background Approximately 130 000 infants acquire HIV annually despite global maternal antiretroviral therapy scale-up. We evaluated the potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of offering long-acting, anti-HIV broadly neutralizing antibody (bNAb) prophylaxis to infants in three distinct settings. Methods We simulated infants in Côte d’Ivoire, South Africa, and Zimbabwe using the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications-Pediatric (CEPAC-P) model. We modeled strategies offering a three-bNAb combination in addition to WHO-recommended standard-of-care oral prophylaxis to infants: a) with known, WHO-defined high-risk HIV exposure at birth (<i>HR-HIVE</i>); b) with known HIV exposure at birth (<i>HIVE</i>); or c) with or without known HIV exposure (<i>ALL</i>). Modeled infants received <i>1-dose</i>, <i>2-doses</i>, or <i>Extended</i> (every 3 months through 18 months) bNAb dosing. Base case model inputs included 70% bNAb efficacy (sensitivity analysis range: 10–100%), 3-month efficacy duration/dosing interval (1–6 months), and $20/dose cost ($5–$100/dose). Outcomes included pediatric HIV infections, life expectancy, lifetime HIV-related costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs, in US$/year-of-life-saved [YLS], assuming a ≤ 50% GDP per capita cost-effectiveness threshold). Findings The base case model projects that bNAb strategies targeting <i>HIVE</i> and <i>ALL</i> infants would prevent 7–26% and 10–42% additional pediatric HIV infections, respectively, compared to standard-of-care alone, ranging by dosing approach. <i>HIVE-Extended</i> would be cost-effective (cost-saving compared to standard-of-care) in Côte d’Ivoire and Zimbabwe; <i>ALL-Extended</i> would be cost-effective in South Africa (ICER: $882/YLS). BNAb strategies targeting <i>HR-HIVE</i> infants would result in greater lifetime costs and smaller life expectancy gains than <i>HIVE-Extended</i>. Throughout most bNAb efficacies and costs evaluated in sensitivity analyses, targeting <i>HIVE</i> infants would be cost-effective in Côte d’Ivoire and Zimbabwe, and targeting <i>ALL</i> infants would be cost-effective in South Africa. Interpretation Adding long-acting bNAbs to current standard-of-care prophylaxis would be cost-effective, assuming plausible efficacies and costs. The cost-effective target population would vary by setting, largely driven by maternal antenatal HIV prevalence and postpartum incidence. </div>

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2025-03-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318940.s001
Primary Topic
Genetic and Environmental Crop Studies
Type
article
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0.00
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Appendix.

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Genetic and Environmental Crop Studies
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Appendix.

article en

Abstract

<div> Background Approximately 130 000 infants acquire HIV annually despite global maternal antiretroviral therapy scale-up. We evaluated the potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of offering long-acting, anti-HIV broadly neutralizing antibody (bNAb) prophylaxis to infants in three distinct settings. Methods We simulated infants in Côte d’Ivoire, South Africa, and Zimbabwe using the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications-Pediatric (CEPAC-P) model. We modeled strategies offering a three-bNAb combination in addition to WHO-recommended standard-of-care oral prophylaxis to infants: a) with known, WHO-defined high-risk HIV exposure at birth (<i>HR-HIVE</i>); b) with known HIV exposure at birth (<i>HIVE</i>); or c) with or without known HIV exposure (<i>ALL</i>). Modeled infants received <i>1-dose</i>, <i>2-doses</i>, or <i>Extended</i> (every 3 months through 18 months) bNAb dosing. Base case model inputs included 70% bNAb efficacy (sensitivity analysis range: 10–100%), 3-month efficacy duration/dosing interval (1–6 months), and $20/dose cost ($5–$100/dose). Outcomes included pediatric HIV infections, life expectancy, lifetime HIV-related costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs, in US$/year-of-life-saved [YLS], assuming a ≤ 50% GDP per capita cost-effectiveness threshold). Findings The base case model projects that bNAb strategies targeting <i>HIVE</i> and <i>ALL</i> infants would prevent 7–26% and 10–42% additional pediatric HIV infections, respectively, compared to standard-of-care alone, ranging by dosing approach. <i>HIVE-Extended</i> would be cost-effective (cost-saving compared to standard-of-care) in Côte d’Ivoire and Zimbabwe; <i>ALL-Extended</i> would be cost-effective in South Africa (ICER: $882/YLS). BNAb strategies targeting <i>HR-HIVE</i> infants would result in greater lifetime costs and smaller life expectancy gains than <i>HIVE-Extended</i>. Throughout most bNAb efficacies and costs evaluated in sensitivity analyses, targeting <i>HIVE</i> infants would be cost-effective in Côte d’Ivoire and Zimbabwe, and targeting <i>ALL</i> infants would be cost-effective in South Africa. Interpretation Adding long-acting bNAbs to current standard-of-care prophylaxis would be cost-effective, assuming plausible efficacies and costs. The cost-effective target population would vary by setting, largely driven by maternal antenatal HIV prevalence and postpartum incidence. </div>

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Appendix. · Figshare (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS