Simulation of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics in Habitat Quality amid Rapid Urbanization based on Random Forest Algorithm: A Lingui District, Guilin City Case Study

Territorial space planning policies profoundly influence land use alterations, subsequently impacting regional habitat quality. Habitat quality epitomizes the capacity to sustain biodiversity. The acceleration of human activities and urban construction land expansion foregrounds habitat quality as a pivotal aspect of ecological diversity conservation and sustainable development scholarship. Analyzing the spatial and temporal fluctuations of regional habitat quality furnishes an ecological, scientific foundation for territorial space strategy. This study, centering on the rapidly urbanizing Lingui District, assesses and forecasts land use conversion and habitat quality evolution from 2000 to 2030, using the random forest algorithm, employing land use data from 2000, 2010, and 2020 through an integrated application of the PLUS- InVEST model. Furthermore, it explores spatial differentiation, spatiotemporal pattern characteristics, and determinants in Lingui District by amalgamating spatial statistical and spatial autocorrelation methodologies.