Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

We investigate nonlinear real exchange rate (RER) dynamics using a high-frequency panel dataset of Apple iPad prices across global markets. Our findings challenge the conventional view of slow RER adjustment by demonstrating that larger mispricings are corrected much faster, while smaller deviations persist for longer periods. We identify a valuation threshold effect, where smaller deviations behave like unit root processes, while larger discrepancies are more quickly mean-reverting. Furthermore, the magnitude of these thresholds diminishes as the time horizon of evaluation increases. Transaction costs play a crucial role in shaping these dynamics, with higher costs associated with wider thresholds for arbitrage activity. Additionally, the results reveal asymmetry in RER adjustments, where undervaluations are corrected more rapidly than overvaluations. These findings provide new insights into the speed and nature of RER adjustments, suggesting that product-specific price data, such as that from iPads, can offer a more granular understanding of international price convergence.

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Publication Details

Journal
ERSA Working Paper Series
Published
2024-10-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.71587/zq2kyx44
Primary Topic
Agricultural pest management studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

ERSA Working Paper Series
Agricultural pest management studies
article

Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

article en

Abstract

We investigate nonlinear real exchange rate (RER) dynamics using a high-frequency panel dataset of Apple iPad prices across global markets. Our findings challenge the conventional view of slow RER adjustment by demonstrating that larger mispricings are corrected much faster, while smaller deviations persist for longer periods. We identify a valuation threshold effect, where smaller deviations behave like unit root processes, while larger discrepancies are more quickly mean-reverting. Furthermore, the magnitude of these thresholds diminishes as the time horizon of evaluation increases. Transaction costs play a crucial role in shaping these dynamics, with higher costs associated with wider thresholds for arbitrage activity. Additionally, the results reveal asymmetry in RER adjustments, where undervaluations are corrected more rapidly than overvaluations. These findings provide new insights into the speed and nature of RER adjustments, suggesting that product-specific price data, such as that from iPads, can offer a more granular understanding of international price convergence.

ERSA Working Paper Series
University of Cape Town (ZA), South African Reserve Bank (ZA), Stellenbosch University (ZA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 41%
Agricultural pest management studies
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