<b>Theoretical Formation and Geopolitical Risks of Fissile Material Asteroids</b>

This paper explores the hypothesis that remnants of supernova explosions could form asteroids rich in fissile materials such as uranium-235. Through rapid neutron capture (r-process) nucleosynthesis, heavy elements are synthesized and distributed throughout stellar remnants. If such fissile-rich asteroids survive planetary formation and persist in regions such as the Kuiper Belt or Oort Cloud, their eventual gravitational capture by Earth could result in gamma-ray bursts, neutron emissions, or localized radiation. These phenomena could mimic the signature of a nuclear explosion, posing a serious risk of misinterpretation by global nuclear monitoring systems and potentially triggering international conflict. The paper evaluates entry dynamics, momentary criticality, detection protocols, and offers recommendations to integrate natural criticality scenarios into existing nuclear response frameworks.

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.29299058
Primary Topic
Nuclear Issues and Defense
Type
article
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article

Theoretical Formation and Geopolitical Risks of Fissile Material Asteroids

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Nuclear Issues and Defense
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Theoretical Formation and Geopolitical Risks of Fissile Material Asteroids

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Abstract

This paper explores the hypothesis that remnants of supernova explosions could form asteroids rich in fissile materials such as uranium-235. Through rapid neutron capture (r-process) nucleosynthesis, heavy elements are synthesized and distributed throughout stellar remnants. If such fissile-rich asteroids survive planetary formation and persist in regions such as the Kuiper Belt or Oort Cloud, their eventual gravitational capture by Earth could result in gamma-ray bursts, neutron emissions, or localized radiation. These phenomena could mimic the signature of a nuclear explosion, posing a serious risk of misinterpretation by global nuclear monitoring systems and potentially triggering international conflict. The paper evaluates entry dynamics, momentary criticality, detection protocols, and offers recommendations to integrate natural criticality scenarios into existing nuclear response frameworks.

Figshare
Openalex Percentile: Top 46%
Nuclear Issues and Defense
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