Representation or reprehension? Radical-right electoral competition, satisfaction with democracy, and voter turnout

An important issue in the research on radical parties asks a critical question: are these parties a threat or corrective for democracy? I analyze this question with specific regard to radical-right parties and political participation. Specifically, I ask whether the inclusion of a radical-right competitor in electoral contests serve to disenchant and demobilize voters, and present evidence of a potential causal mechanism through which we may see such an effect. First, through an analysis of election-level data in Europe I demonstrate this indeed appears to be the case: in elections where radical-right parties compete, turnout falls. I then look to survey data and causal mediation analysis to demonstrate why. Findings indicate radical-right electoral competition serves to decrease individuals’ trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy, which in turn makes them less likely to turnout and vote.

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2024-12-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.27947936.v1
Primary Topic
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Representation or reprehension? Radical-right electoral competition, satisfaction with democracy, and voter turnout

Figshare
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
article

Representation or reprehension? Radical-right electoral competition, satisfaction with democracy, and voter turnout

article en

Abstract

An important issue in the research on radical parties asks a critical question: are these parties a threat or corrective for democracy? I analyze this question with specific regard to radical-right parties and political participation. Specifically, I ask whether the inclusion of a radical-right competitor in electoral contests serve to disenchant and demobilize voters, and present evidence of a potential causal mechanism through which we may see such an effect. First, through an analysis of election-level data in Europe I demonstrate this indeed appears to be the case: in elections where radical-right parties compete, turnout falls. I then look to survey data and causal mediation analysis to demonstrate why. Findings indicate radical-right electoral competition serves to decrease individuals’ trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy, which in turn makes them less likely to turnout and vote.

Figshare
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 34%
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
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