Handling missing data in Burundian sovereign bond market

The aim of this article is to determine the best approach for filling in the missing data when constructing the yield curve for the Burundi bond market. In this paper, we explore the limitations and data availability constraints specific to the Burundian sovereign market and propose robust methodologies to effectively handle missing data. The results indicate that the Linear Regression method, and the Previous value method perform consistently well across variables, approximating a normal distribution for the error values. The non-parametric Missing Value Imputation using Random Forest (miss- Forest) method performs well for coupon rates but poorly for bond prices, and the Next value method shows mixed results. Ultimately, the Linear Regression (LR) method is recommended for imputing missing data due to its ability to approximate normality and predictive capabilities. However, filling missing values with previous values has high accuracy; thus, it will be the best choice when we have less information to be able to increase accuracy for LR.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-04-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15296889
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Handling missing data in Burundian sovereign bond market

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

Handling missing data in Burundian sovereign bond market

article en

Abstract

The aim of this article is to determine the best approach for filling in the missing data when constructing the yield curve for the Burundi bond market. In this paper, we explore the limitations and data availability constraints specific to the Burundian sovereign market and propose robust methodologies to effectively handle missing data. The results indicate that the Linear Regression method, and the Previous value method perform consistently well across variables, approximating a normal distribution for the error values. The non-parametric Missing Value Imputation using Random Forest (miss- Forest) method performs well for coupon rates but poorly for bond prices, and the Next value method shows mixed results. Ultimately, the Linear Regression (LR) method is recommended for imputing missing data due to its ability to approximate normality and predictive capabilities. However, filling missing values with previous values has high accuracy; thus, it will be the best choice when we have less information to be able to increase accuracy for LR.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Université du Burundi (BI)
Openalex Percentile: Top 39%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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