An Exploration of the ARIMA Model for Time Series Prediction and Analysis

This study explores the application of the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for time series forecasting. ARIMA is a widely used statistical technique that combines auto regression, differencing, and moving average components to model and predict future values in a time-dependent dataset. The model is particularly effective for datasets that exhibit trends and require stationarity through differencing. This research demonstrates the ARIMA model's capability to analyse historical data, identify underlying patterns, and produce accurate forecasts. By applying the ARIMA model to [specific dataset or application], the study highlights its strengths in handling non-stationary data and provides insights into future trends with a high degree of precision. Model diagnostics and forecast accuracy measures indicate that ARIMA is a robust tool for short-term and long-term time series prediction across various domains.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-03-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15542599
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

An Exploration of the ARIMA Model for Time Series Prediction and Analysis

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

An Exploration of the ARIMA Model for Time Series Prediction and Analysis

article en

Abstract

This study explores the application of the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for time series forecasting. ARIMA is a widely used statistical technique that combines auto regression, differencing, and moving average components to model and predict future values in a time-dependent dataset. The model is particularly effective for datasets that exhibit trends and require stationarity through differencing. This research demonstrates the ARIMA model's capability to analyse historical data, identify underlying patterns, and produce accurate forecasts. By applying the ARIMA model to [specific dataset or application], the study highlights its strengths in handling non-stationary data and provides insights into future trends with a high degree of precision. Model diagnostics and forecast accuracy measures indicate that ARIMA is a robust tool for short-term and long-term time series prediction across various domains.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Department of Commerce (AU), G.S. Science, Arts And Commerce College (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 46%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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