The link between objective measures and subjective perceptions of extreme weather

One potential driver of support for stricter climate policies is a shift in the political preferences of average citizens as they experience more frequent and severe extreme weather due to the accelerating impacts of climate change. However, research to date on the impact of personal experience of extreme weather on (political) attitudes has yielded mixed results. In this study, I argue that one reason for this inconclusiveness is that what average citizens perceive as "extreme weather" is not yet well understood. Combining individual-level Swiss survey data on subjective perceptions of extreme weather with fine-grained objective weather data, I show that, overall, there is only a very weak link between objective measures and subjective perceptions of extreme weather in Switzerland. This finding demonstrates that what laypeople perceive as extreme weather is not yet fully understood.

Publication Details

Journal
Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Published
2025-03-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000723946
Primary Topic
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The link between objective measures and subjective perceptions of extreme weather

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
article

The link between objective measures and subjective perceptions of extreme weather

article en

Abstract

One potential driver of support for stricter climate policies is a shift in the political preferences of average citizens as they experience more frequent and severe extreme weather due to the accelerating impacts of climate change. However, research to date on the impact of personal experience of extreme weather on (political) attitudes has yielded mixed results. In this study, I argue that one reason for this inconclusiveness is that what average citizens perceive as "extreme weather" is not yet well understood. Combining individual-level Swiss survey data on subjective perceptions of extreme weather with fine-grained objective weather data, I show that, overall, there is only a very weak link between objective measures and subjective perceptions of extreme weather in Switzerland. This finding demonstrates that what laypeople perceive as extreme weather is not yet fully understood.

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
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