Detecting and sizing the Earth with PLATO: A feasibility study based on solar data

Context. The PLAnetary Transits and Oscillations of stars (PLATO) mission will observe the same area of the sky continuously for at least two years in an effort to detect transit signals of an Earth-like planet orbiting a solar-like star. Aims. We aim to study how short-term solar-like variability caused by oscillations and granulation would affect PLATO’s ability to detect and size Earth if PLATO were to observe the Solar System itself. We also compare different approaches to mitigate noise caused by short-term solar-like variability and perform realistic transit fitting of transit signals in PLATO-like light curves. Methods. We injected Earth-like transit signals onto real solar data taken by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) instrument on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). We isolated short-term stellar variability in the HMI observations by removing any variability with characteristic timescales longer than five hours using a smooth Savitzky-Golay filter. We then added a noise model for a variety of different stellar magnitudes computed by <ns0:monospace>PlatoSim</ns0:monospace> assuming an observation by all 24 normal cameras. We first compared four different commonly used treatments of correlated noise in the time domain by employing them in a transit fitting scheme. We then tried to recover pairs of transit signals using an algorithm similar to the transit least squares algorithm. Finally, we performed transit fits using realistic priors on planetary and stellar parameters and assessed how accurately the pair of two injected transits was recovered. Results. We find that short-term solar-like variability affects the correct retrieval of Earth-like transit signals in PLATO data. Variability models accounting for variations with typical timescales at the order of one hour are sufficient to mitigate these effects. We find that when the limb-darkening coefficients of the host star are properly constrained, the impact parameter does not negatively affect the detectability of a transit signal or the retrieved transit parameters, except for high values (b > 0.8). For bright targets (8.5–10.5 mag), the transit signal of an Earth analogue can reliably be detected in PLATO data. For faint targets a detection is still likely, though the results of transit search algorithms have to be verified by transit-fitting algorithms to avoid false positive detections being flagged. For bright targets (V-mag ≤ 9.5), the radius of an Earth-like planet orbiting a solar-like star can be correctly determined at a precision of 3% or less, assuming that at least two transit events are observed and the characteristics of the host star are well understood.