Widespread global enhancement of vegetation resistance to compound dry-hot events due to anthropogenic climate change

• ACC increases global vegetation resistance to CDH, lowering vegetation loss risk (LAI ≤ 40th percentile) by 7.2∼19.6 % • ACC heightens Tundra & Taiga vulnerability to CDH in northern high-latitudes, mainly due to human-driven vegetation loss. • ACC enhances grassland CDH resistance less than forests due to greater physiological strain on grasslands. Compound Dry-Hot (CDH) events, the simultaneous occurrence of drought and high temperature events, have become more frequent under recent global warming, posing a serious threat to terrestrial vegetation. However, the role of anthropogenic climate change (ACC) signals in the characteristics of CDH events, and its consequence to vegetation vulnerability, are still poorly understood. Based on the meteorological data and simulated Leaf Area Index (LAI) data from four CMIP6 models under the “natural-only” (NAT) and “natural and anthropogenic” (ALL) experiments, this study investigates the ACC impacts on historical (1982–2014) occurrence of CDH (with different intensities and durations) and quantifies the anthropogenic signals in vegetation vulnerability by using the Fraction of Attributable Risk method. The results show that ACC not only increases the frequency and duration of CDH over most global regions, also simultaneously causes a globally widespread increase in vegetation resistance to CDH (particularly in the Southern Hemisphere), which reduces the probability of vegetation loss (defined as LAI ≤ 40th percentile) by 7.2∼19.6 % on global average. Moreover, vegetation resistance generally increases with CDH intensity globally, mainly due to the expanded vegetation coverage and the alleviation of high-temperature inhibitory effects on vegetation growth. We also find that ACC increases the vulnerability of Tundra and Taiga to CDH only in northern high-latitudes due to the decreased vegetation coverage, but enhances the grassland resistance to CDH to a lesser extent than forests due to the greater physiological burden brought by CDH to grasslands than to forests. These findings suggest that climate adaptation strategies should prioritize vegetation protection in high-latitudes and promote drought- and heat-resilient vegetation types in grassland and semi-arid regions in order to enhance ecosystem stability under future CDH extremes.

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Ecological Indicators
Published
2025-07-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113880
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.43
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Widespread global enhancement of vegetation resistance to compound dry-hot events due to anthropogenic climate change

2 citations
Ecological Indicators
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
3.43
article

Widespread global enhancement of vegetation resistance to compound dry-hot events due to anthropogenic climate change

article en
2 citations

Abstract

• ACC increases global vegetation resistance to CDH, lowering vegetation loss risk (LAI ≤ 40th percentile) by 7.2∼19.6 % • ACC heightens Tundra & Taiga vulnerability to CDH in northern high-latitudes, mainly due to human-driven vegetation loss. • ACC enhances grassland CDH resistance less than forests due to greater physiological strain on grasslands. Compound Dry-Hot (CDH) events, the simultaneous occurrence of drought and high temperature events, have become more frequent under recent global warming, posing a serious threat to terrestrial vegetation. However, the role of anthropogenic climate change (ACC) signals in the characteristics of CDH events, and its consequence to vegetation vulnerability, are still poorly understood. Based on the meteorological data and simulated Leaf Area Index (LAI) data from four CMIP6 models under the “natural-only” (NAT) and “natural and anthropogenic” (ALL) experiments, this study investigates the ACC impacts on historical (1982–2014) occurrence of CDH (with different intensities and durations) and quantifies the anthropogenic signals in vegetation vulnerability by using the Fraction of Attributable Risk method. The results show that ACC not only increases the frequency and duration of CDH over most global regions, also simultaneously causes a globally widespread increase in vegetation resistance to CDH (particularly in the Southern Hemisphere), which reduces the probability of vegetation loss (defined as LAI ≤ 40th percentile) by 7.2∼19.6 % on global average. Moreover, vegetation resistance generally increases with CDH intensity globally, mainly due to the expanded vegetation coverage and the alleviation of high-temperature inhibitory effects on vegetation growth. We also find that ACC increases the vulnerability of Tundra and Taiga to CDH only in northern high-latitudes due to the decreased vegetation coverage, but enhances the grassland resistance to CDH to a lesser extent than forests due to the greater physiological burden brought by CDH to grasslands than to forests. These findings suggest that climate adaptation strategies should prioritize vegetation protection in high-latitudes and promote drought- and heat-resilient vegetation types in grassland and semi-arid regions in order to enhance ecosystem stability under future CDH extremes.

Ecological IndicatorsVol. 178
Monash University Malaysia (MY), Hohai University (CN), Guizhou University (CN), University of Jinan (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
3.43
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.