Forecast scenario of the field stress factor in Donbass based on phytomonitoring

Based on the results of the phytoindication monitoring of the state of ecotopes for 2023 for the territory of Donbass, as well as fragmentary information added for 2024, a territorial-spatial model of background accumulated damage for indicator plants was constructed and a forecast of the state of ecotopes for 2025–2027 was made based on the formation of a continuous addition of the polemostress factor. The selected factor (due to the stagnation of large-scale metallurgical production) of military events (polemostress) was determined as of the forecasted 2026 and 2027 as the leading one in the system of transformation of ecotopes of the Central Donbass. An increase in the area affected by polemostress and a decrease in the area of degradative manifestations of phytoindication significance caused by industrial technogenesis are predicted. Urbogeosystems retain the status of high ecological stress in the conditions of the Northern Azov region.