MSTID forecasting software codes delivered by the T-FORS project

This report provides a description of the codes that estimate the climatological pattern of MSTIDs, developed in the T-FORS project. The MSTID climatology is based on the detrended TEC data and can be used as a long-term forecasting tool. The validation confirms the expected diurnal and seasonal variability of the physical phenomenon. Some evidence is also provided for the detection of extreme MSTID activity, however near-real time data are needed to confirm our capability to design alert messages.