The hidden problem in Big Data: even infinite information does not guarantee consistent measurement

The social sciences heavily depend on the measurement of abstract constructs for quantifying effects, identifying associations between variables, and testing hypotheses. In data science, constructs are also often used for forecasting, and thanks to the recent big data revolution, they promise to enhance their accuracy by leveraging the constantly increasing stream of digital information around us. However, the possibility of optimizing various social indicators implicitly hinges on our ability to reliably reduce complex and abstract constructs (such as life satisfaction or social trust) into numeric measures. While many scientists are aware of the issue of measurement error, there is widespread, implicit hope that access to more data will eventually render this issue irrel-evant. This paper delves into the nature of measurement error under quasi-ideal condi-tions. We show mathematically and by employing simulations that single measurements fail to converge even when we can access progressively more information. Then, by using real-world data from the Social Capital Benchmark Surveys, we demonstrate how add-ing new information increases the dimensionality of the measured construct quasi-in-definitely, further contributing to measurement divergence. We conclude by discussing implications and future research directions to solve this problem.

Publication Details

Journal
Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Published
2024-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000720100
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.28
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article

The hidden problem in Big Data: even infinite information does not guarantee consistent measurement

1 citations
Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
0.28
article

The hidden problem in Big Data: even infinite information does not guarantee consistent measurement

article en
1 citations

Abstract

The social sciences heavily depend on the measurement of abstract constructs for quantifying effects, identifying associations between variables, and testing hypotheses. In data science, constructs are also often used for forecasting, and thanks to the recent big data revolution, they promise to enhance their accuracy by leveraging the constantly increasing stream of digital information around us. However, the possibility of optimizing various social indicators implicitly hinges on our ability to reliably reduce complex and abstract constructs (such as life satisfaction or social trust) into numeric measures. While many scientists are aware of the issue of measurement error, there is widespread, implicit hope that access to more data will eventually render this issue irrel-evant. This paper delves into the nature of measurement error under quasi-ideal condi-tions. We show mathematically and by employing simulations that single measurements fail to converge even when we can access progressively more information. Then, by using real-world data from the Social Capital Benchmark Surveys, we demonstrate how add-ing new information increases the dimensionality of the measured construct quasi-in-definitely, further contributing to measurement divergence. We conclude by discussing implications and future research directions to solve this problem.

Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)
Openalex Percentile: Top 40%
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
0.28
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