Scalable Risk Quantification via Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization in Agile Software Development

**Abstract:** Agile software development projects are inherently complex and subject to rapid change, making accurate risk quantification a significant challenge. This paper proposes a novel approach, Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization (DBNO), leveraging a multi-modal data ingestion layer combined with iterative Bayesian network refinement to provide a more accurate and scalable risk assessment framework for agile environments. DBNO dynamically adapts to project evolution, integrating real-time data from multiple sources to improve prediction accuracy and enable proactive risk mitigation strategies. We demonstrate the feasibility and potential of DBNO through experimental simulations and evaluate its performance against traditional risk quantification methods. --- *This document is a part of the Freederia Research Archive. Explore our complete collection of advanced research at [en.freederia.com](https://en.freederia.com), or visit our main portal at [freederia.com](https://freederia.com) to learn more about our mission and other initiatives.*

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2025-08-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.29918477
Primary Topic
Software Engineering Techniques and Practices
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Scalable Risk Quantification via Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization in Agile Software Development

Figshare
Software Engineering Techniques and Practices
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Scalable Risk Quantification via Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization in Agile Software Development

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Abstract

**Abstract:** Agile software development projects are inherently complex and subject to rapid change, making accurate risk quantification a significant challenge. This paper proposes a novel approach, Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization (DBNO), leveraging a multi-modal data ingestion layer combined with iterative Bayesian network refinement to provide a more accurate and scalable risk assessment framework for agile environments. DBNO dynamically adapts to project evolution, integrating real-time data from multiple sources to improve prediction accuracy and enable proactive risk mitigation strategies. We demonstrate the feasibility and potential of DBNO through experimental simulations and evaluate its performance against traditional risk quantification methods. --- *This document is a part of the Freederia Research Archive. Explore our complete collection of advanced research at [en.freederia.com](https://en.freederia.com), or visit our main portal at [freederia.com](https://freederia.com) to learn more about our mission and other initiatives.*

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Software Engineering Techniques and Practices
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Scalable Risk Quantification via Dynamic Bayesian Network Optimization in Agile Software Development · Figshare (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS