REVISITING THE NEXUS BETWEEN PUBLIC EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA

Purpose: This study evaluates the nexus between public expenditure and economic growth in South Africa. The study uses time-series data to evaluate the nexus which span through 1986-2022 which is obtained from WDI, 2022. Method: Essentially, the study employed cointegration and VECM test. The cointegration test signifies that all the variables are cointegrated at long-run. The VECM shows a direct connection amid government expenditure and economic growth.Result: The study found a unidirectional causal association between public investment (HE, ML, ED, and INFR) and economic development, as well as a substantial long-run relationship between the variables. Thus, the study's empirical findings indicate that public spending is a major factor in economic expansion.Practical Implication for Economic Growth and Development: The study recommends the expansion of spending should be avoided for economic growth as it causes the economy to accumulate enormous amounts of debt. The direct influence of government expenditure on inflation makes it inappropriate to utilize it as a tool for stabilizing policy.Keywords: Public expenditure, economic growth, granger causality, VECM.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2024-09-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13861120
Primary Topic
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
Type
article
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article

REVISITING THE NEXUS BETWEEN PUBLIC EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
article

REVISITING THE NEXUS BETWEEN PUBLIC EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA

article en

Abstract

Purpose: This study evaluates the nexus between public expenditure and economic growth in South Africa. The study uses time-series data to evaluate the nexus which span through 1986-2022 which is obtained from WDI, 2022. Method: Essentially, the study employed cointegration and VECM test. The cointegration test signifies that all the variables are cointegrated at long-run. The VECM shows a direct connection amid government expenditure and economic growth.Result: The study found a unidirectional causal association between public investment (HE, ML, ED, and INFR) and economic development, as well as a substantial long-run relationship between the variables. Thus, the study's empirical findings indicate that public spending is a major factor in economic expansion.Practical Implication for Economic Growth and Development: The study recommends the expansion of spending should be avoided for economic growth as it causes the economy to accumulate enormous amounts of debt. The direct influence of government expenditure on inflation makes it inappropriate to utilize it as a tool for stabilizing policy.Keywords: Public expenditure, economic growth, granger causality, VECM.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Walter Sisulu University (ZA)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 50%
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
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