Mathematical model of the territorial bioecological coefficient to evaluate the progress of the sustainable development goal

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The geographic location of the department of Atlántico makes it highly vulnerable to climate effects, placing it in an environmental risk zone within the Colombian Caribbean region. This scenario requires the development of initiatives that align with the Sustainable Development Goals, and climate action, ratified at the United Nations Conference on Climate Change. It is imperative for governmental organizations to engage in sustainable development through the execution of initiatives that respond to the climate challenges present in the region. These initiatives are designed to secure the survival, promote economic growth, and enhance environmental sustainability for the residents of every municipality in the departments. The objective of this study was to create a territorial bioecological coefficient model designed to measure advancements in development objectives and goals grounded in natural factors. Additionally, the model aims to assess environmental elements and ecosystem resources while considering the impacts of climate change, particularly within the Department of Atlántico, Colombia.METHODS: This model will allow for more effective anticipation of climate adaptation strategies, correlating the sustainable development goals with the progress established by the United Nations. The integration of these components will lead to more cohesive planning that aligns with global objectives, thereby optimizing both resources and efforts. This will facilitate the identification of priority areas for climate action and promote collaboration between different actors. Additionally, the model will support the tracking and evaluation of progress in achieving climate resilience, encouraging accountability and the adaptation of strategies to meet emerging challenges, which will ensure a holistic response to climate change and its consequences.FINDINGS: This innovative approach addresses a significant gap, as there is currently no specific mathematical model to measure this coefficient. This tool would play a critical role in assessing ecosystem services and resources, supporting the design of territorial strategies that are tailored to climate change, consistent with sustainable development goals, and reinforcing local resilience, thus encouraging sustainable development. This approach promotes the adoption of sustainable territorial strategies in the face of climate change, which implies strategic coordination between academia, the productive sector, grassroots organizations, territory and local government. A non-compliance rate has been identified at the municipal and local level of sustainable development goal-13, with a percentage of climate actions of 85.60 percent in Usiacurí, 86.23 percent in Puerto Colombia and 84.50 percent in Suan.CONCLUSION: The territorial bioecological coefficients model developed for the Atlantic is presented as an innovative tool that allows the evaluation of ecosystem resources and progress towards the sustainable development goals. This method fosters the integration of sustainable regional strategies as a response to the impacts of climate change.