Bayesian predictive model for mainland carcass rates at the four identified intervention points: (A) November 2009, and (B) February 2014.

<p>Each figure shows actual values of average mainland carcasses per month (black), forecasted carcass rates (blue dotted line), and forecasted confidence intervals (blue shading). The first and second horizontal dashed lines represent the pre-event period. The second and third horizontal dashed lines represent the post-event period, the time over which the model is projected and quantified.</p> <p>(PDF)</p>