Enhancing Stock Market Forecasting with Machine Learning_ A PineScript-Driven Approach (2).pdf

This study investigates the application of machine learning (ML) models in stock market forecasting, with a focus on their integration using PineScript, a domain-specific language for algorithmic trading. Leveraging diverse datasets, including historical stock prices and market sentiment data, we developed and tested various ML models such as neural networks, decision trees, and linear regression. Rigorous backtesting over multiple timeframes and market conditions allowed us to evaluate their predictive accuracy and financial performance. The neural network model demonstrated the highest accuracy, achieving a 75% success rate, significantly outperforming traditional models. Additionally, trading strategies derived from these ML models yielded a return on investment (ROI) of up to 12%, compared to an 8% benchmark index ROI. These findings underscore the transformative potential of ML in refining trading strategies, providing critical insights for financial analysts, investors, and developers. The study draws on insights from 15 peer-reviewed articles, financial datasets, and industry reports, establishing a robust foundation for future exploration of ML-driven financial forecasting. Tools and Technologies Used †PineScript PineScript, a scripting language integrated within the TradingView platform, was the primary tool used to develop and implement the machine learning models. Its robust features allowed for custom indicator creation, strategy backtesting, and real-time market data analysis. †Python Python was utilized for data preprocessing, model training, and performance evaluation. Key libraries included: Pandas

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2024-11-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.27855111
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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article
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Enhancing Stock Market Forecasting with Machine Learning_ A PineScript-Driven Approach (2).pdf

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Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Enhancing Stock Market Forecasting with Machine Learning_ A PineScript-Driven Approach (2).pdf

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Abstract

This study investigates the application of machine learning (ML) models in stock market forecasting, with a focus on their integration using PineScript, a domain-specific language for algorithmic trading. Leveraging diverse datasets, including historical stock prices and market sentiment data, we developed and tested various ML models such as neural networks, decision trees, and linear regression. Rigorous backtesting over multiple timeframes and market conditions allowed us to evaluate their predictive accuracy and financial performance. The neural network model demonstrated the highest accuracy, achieving a 75% success rate, significantly outperforming traditional models. Additionally, trading strategies derived from these ML models yielded a return on investment (ROI) of up to 12%, compared to an 8% benchmark index ROI. These findings underscore the transformative potential of ML in refining trading strategies, providing critical insights for financial analysts, investors, and developers. The study draws on insights from 15 peer-reviewed articles, financial datasets, and industry reports, establishing a robust foundation for future exploration of ML-driven financial forecasting. Tools and Technologies Used †PineScript PineScript, a scripting language integrated within the TradingView platform, was the primary tool used to develop and implement the machine learning models. Its robust features allowed for custom indicator creation, strategy backtesting, and real-time market data analysis. †Python Python was utilized for data preprocessing, model training, and performance evaluation. Key libraries included: Pandas

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Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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