D6.1 – Scenario Protocol Design

The EU–CHINA BRIDGE project develops comparative scenario analyses to inform decarbonisation strategies in the EU and China. Scenario development is carried out through a structured co-creation process involving iterative stakeholder engagement. This deliverable contributes to the development of the scenario protocol that will be then implemented by the modelling framework by documenting and analysing the outputs of the stakeholder workshop held on 10 April 2025, which marked the first stakeholder engagement event within the third co-creation cycle. The workshop aimed to identify stakeholder priorities, transition drivers, main uncertainties, and policy themes to be reflected in qualitative scenario narratives. These elements serve as the conceptual foundation for the narrative protocol and quantitative assumptions for model-based scenario analysis subsequently developed in WP6. The deliverable presents the methodological framework, structure, and objectives of the stakeholder workshop, provides a detailed review of the nine topics introduced for discussion, as well as an in-depth summary of stakeholder input and recommendations on the five priority themes selected through interactive voting. Finally, the report concludes with the presentation of coherent narrative dimensions and scenario design assumptions derived from the co-creation process and the methodological principles used to translate the insights from the stakeholders into structured scenario design elements.