Analysis of forecasting parameters for technical objects

The aim of the work is the development and research of parameters characterizing the process of functioning of a hybrid forecasting system oriented to use in technical object management systems. Parameters characterizing the process of its functioning have been developed and investigated in the paper. Such parameters are relatedness and co-dimensionality, which characterize the consistency of the parameters of random events that negatively affect the technical object, with the parameters of counteracting this influence, which are formed within the framework of the forecasting system. A parameter has been developed that characterizes the degree of determinism of individual components of the system, which characterizes the amount of reduction in the degree of randomness of the obtained results of transformations implemented in the corresponding component. Also developed is the parameter of the measure of the countermeasure against the negative impact of a random process on a technical object, which is carried out by the corresponding component of the forecasting system, in the event of an external random event. Thanks to the use of these parameters, it is possible to evaluate the key functions implemented by the forecasting system when it is used in management systems of technical objects and relevant technological processes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2024-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15274719
Primary Topic
Ergonomics and Human Factors
Type
article
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article

Analysis of forecasting parameters for technical objects

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Ergonomics and Human Factors
article

Analysis of forecasting parameters for technical objects

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Abstract

The aim of the work is the development and research of parameters characterizing the process of functioning of a hybrid forecasting system oriented to use in technical object management systems. Parameters characterizing the process of its functioning have been developed and investigated in the paper. Such parameters are relatedness and co-dimensionality, which characterize the consistency of the parameters of random events that negatively affect the technical object, with the parameters of counteracting this influence, which are formed within the framework of the forecasting system. A parameter has been developed that characterizes the degree of determinism of individual components of the system, which characterizes the amount of reduction in the degree of randomness of the obtained results of transformations implemented in the corresponding component. Also developed is the parameter of the measure of the countermeasure against the negative impact of a random process on a technical object, which is carried out by the corresponding component of the forecasting system, in the event of an external random event. Thanks to the use of these parameters, it is possible to evaluate the key functions implemented by the forecasting system when it is used in management systems of technical objects and relevant technological processes.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Uniwersytet Komisji Edukacji Narodowej w Krakowie (PL), Państwowa Wyższa Szkoła Zawodowa w Nowym Sączu (PL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Ergonomics and Human Factors
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